Paying disadvantaged teenagers to stay in school

Author: Jack Britton (University of York)Nick Ridpath (Institute for Fiscal Studies)Ben Waltmann (Institute for Fiscal Studies)Carmen Villa (University of Zurich)
Posted: 1 December 2025

Abstract

We evaluate the Education Maintenance Allowance, a large conditional cash transfer scheme that paid low-income teenagers in England to remain in education beyond age 16. Using the staggered national roll-out of the program and linked administrative data tracking education, earnings, welfare payments and criminal convictions to age 31, we find no significant overall effect of the policy on labor market outcomes or criminality. High-attaining students were more likely to attend university but no more likely to graduate. Low-attaining students committed fewer crimes. Point estimates suggest the overall Marginal Value of Public Funds was below one, indicating low cost-effectiveness.
JEL codes: I28, J24, H52
Keywords: conditional cash transfer, education, education maintenance allowance