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Research

Fact of the day

The ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin Institute for the Economy and the Future of Work (RFBerlin) engages in research designed to raise the standard of public debate and create the best possible basis for policy making.

Equity, Inclusion & Opportunity
Equity, Inclusion & Opportunity
Migration & Global Collaboration
Migration & Global Collaboration
Technology, Trade & Human Capital
Technology, Trade & Human Capital

Discussion papers

No. 120/26 - April 2026

Asymmetric Fertility Elasticities

Sam Engle, Chong Pang, Anson Zhou

No. 119/26 - April 2026

Cultural Adaptation and the Uneven Emergence of Large-Scale Cooperation

Oded Galor

No. 118/26 - April 2026

Pre-AI Sorting, Post-AI Inequality: Generative AI and the Gender Wage Gap

Joacim TÃ¥g, Fredrik Heyman, Malin Gardberg, Martin Olsson

No. 117/26 - April 2026

Buying Out the Means of Production: Wages and Productivity in Labor-Managed Firms

Elia Benveniste

Research Insights

Concise, research-based articles for scholars,
policymakers, and anyone curious about the world.

No. 12/26 - April 2026

The Invasion of Ukraine Increased Public Support for Putin

Western policy discussions often centre on the idea that military spending, economic sanctions, and battlefield losses will eventually erode domestic support for the Kremlin. This study provides evidence of what happened to Russian public opinion when Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022.

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No. 11/26 - April 2026

When Robots Enter the Workplace: How Automation Shapes Children’s Future Prospects

Industrial robots and other automation technologies have transformed labour markets in recent decades. Not much is known about the long-run consequences of these technological changes, especially whether their effects extend beyond the workers directly exposed to automation and spill over to the next generation.

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No. 10/26 - April 2026

Unlucky Migrants: Migrating During a Recession Can Lower Immigrants’ Earnings for More Than a Decade

Does the state of the economy matter when immigrants arrive in a host country? Our study shows that it does – and the effects can last for years.

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CReAM Reports

Data-driven reports on migration and related economic and social trends, highlighting the latest developments across Europe and beyond.

No. 3/26 - April 2026

The Immigrant Population in the European Union: Growth, Concentration and Dispersion

The EU hosts a record 64 million foreign-born residents, with migration continuing to grow strongly, though unevenly across countries. While Germany and Spain dominate in absolute numbers, smaller Member States often face greater relative pressure. These patterns are mirrored in asylum and refugee dynamics, where applications and protection needs are highly concentrated in a few countries, yet vary substantially in both origin and relative burden across the EU.

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No. 2/26 - March 2026

Migration Aspirations, Diaspora Networks and Refugee Destinations from Iran and Lebanon

Migration aspirations in Iran and Lebanon closely follow existing diaspora networks and refugee corridors, with Germany and Canada as both major hosts and top preferred destinations. If displacement rises, flows are likely to concentrate in a few high-income countries, with education influencing how broadly potential destinations are considered.

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No. 1/26 - February 2026

Four Years On: What Gallup Data Reveal About Staying, Leaving, and Life Expectations in Ukraine

Migration aspirations in Ukraine fell sharply after the 2022 invasion, dropping from around one-third of adults pre-war to below 15% by 2023–2024. This decline is broad-based and may reflect stronger attachment to the country and optimism about future recovery, while Germany remains the most preferred destination among those who still wish to emigrate.

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News

RFBerlin research and researchers are regularly featured in the press.

Press

22 Apr 2026

CReAM Report on Immigrant Population in the EU Featured in Global Media Outlets
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Press release

22 Apr 2026

Number of Immigrants Reaches Record High in the EU
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Press

17 Apr 2026

Christian Dustmann in Zeit Online on Germany’s reform debate
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Press

30 Mar 2026

German Media Mentions RFBerlin Insight on How Germany Could Raise Its Low Birth Rate
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Tweets by @RF_Berlin

El número de inmigrantes que viven en la UE bate récord en 2025, con 64 millones frente a l40 millones en 2010, según estudio de @RF_Berlin Alemania sigue siendo el principal destino pero España el que más rápido crece, casi igualando ya a Francia.

🧠New RFBerlin Research Insight!

Foreign wars sometimes boost leaders’ popularity at home.

A study by Mikael Elinder, Oscar Erixson & @ollehammar examines Russian public opinion before and after the invasion, revealing a powerful rally effect that reshaped attitudes far beyond

📄 New RFBerlin Discussion Papers: stay updated with recent findings 👇
From migration choices to AI, housing, and well-being: here’s a tour of our latest research 🧵

Can providing information reduce risky migration?

Last month on VoxDev, @giac_bat (@RF_Berlin), Lucia Corno (@Unicatt) & @elianalaferrara (@Kennedy_School) outlined an informational intervention on the risks of irregular migration in Guinea:

Upcoming events

RFBerlin hosts a wide array of events aimed at fostering academic research and collaboration.

RFBerlin Masterclass

23 Apr – 24 Apr 2026

“Skills and human capital in the labor market” by Mikko Silliman

RFBerlin Applied Economics Seminar

24 April 2026

Mikko Silliman (Aalto University)

Multidimensional skills and spatial sorting

RFBerlin Applied Economics Seminar

28 April 2026

Sabrina Di Addario (Bank of Italy)

Shedding Light on Inventors in Italy

Handbook of Labor Economics – Chapter Previews

In anticipation of the upcoming Handbook of Labor Economics, we offer early access to select chapters through our Discussion Papers series. Following our 2023 conference on this new edition, first chapters are now available for preview, featuring insights from leading research in economics and labor.

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