Short summary
Why are some countries rich and others poor? Economists have long pointed to investment, education, and technology. But one factor has been largely overlooked: religion. In our review we document that religion has shaped economic development through nearly every channel that matters — from how people save and invest, to how many children they have, to whether societies embrace or resist new technologies. Understanding these connections helps explain why some countries are rich and others remain poor and reveals how cultural and religious factors interact with economic policies to drive growth.
The evidence spans centuries and continents. Protestant regions of 19th-century Prussia had significantly higher literacy rates than Catholic ones — not because of theology, but because Martin Luther’s insistence that every Christian read the Bible led to the widespread establishment of schools. Islamic restrictions on interest-bearing loans, meanwhile, constrained financial development in ways that are still visible today: regions under Ottoman rule for centuries show 10% less bank penetration than neighbouring areas.
Key Findings
- Religion can influence economic growth through several channels. It shapes saving and investment, education and skills, family size and work norms, and even institutions and openness to new technologies. Through these pathways, it can leave a lasting mark on economic performance.
- The content of religious education matters critically: when religious schooling emphasizes economically useful skills like literacy, it promotes growth (as with Protestantism and mainstream Judaism), but when it substitutes for secular knowledge, it can impede development (as with some madrasas and ultra-Orthodox education).
- Religious institutions and norms often persist for centuries. Even after beliefs change, their influence can remain visible in financial systems, schools, family patterns, and innovation. These long-lasting effects help explain why historical religious differences still shape economic inequality today.
Relevance Today
These findings illuminate contemporary development challenges, from understanding why Islamic banking emerged to explaining educational gaps between religious groups in modern democracies. The research shows that religious institutions and beliefs continue to shape economic outcomes through education systems, family planning policies, financial regulations, and innovation ecosystems.
Author Quote
“Religion affects economic growth not just through individual beliefs, but by shaping the fundamental institutions and norms that govern society. From the accumulation of physical and human capital to technological innovation and state development, religion has been a determinant that influences all the standard inputs of growth models. Understanding these pathways helps us see why the conventional growth literature, which largely ignores religion, misses a crucial part of the story.”
Reference: Becker, Sascha O., Rubin, Jared, & Woessmann, Ludger (2024). “Religion and Growth” Journal of Economic Literature 62(3), 1094–1142.
Research summary
Why are some countries rich while others remain poor? This fundamental question has preoccupied economists for centuries, from Adam Smith to modern growth theorists. While standard growth models focus on capital accumulation, technological progress, and human capital, they largely overlook one of humanity’s most ubiquitous social phenomena: religion. Yet religion has profoundly shaped economic development by influencing virtually every input into growth models—from savings behavior and educational investments to fertility decisions and technological innovation. This research provides the first comprehensive framework for understanding how religion affects economic growth, synthesizing decades of empirical work into a coherent story about the role of religious beliefs, practices, and institutions in shaping prosperity.
Context and Motivation
The relationship between religion and economic development has long fascinated social scientists. Max Weber’s 1905 thesis on the Protestant work ethic launched a century of debate about whether certain religions are more conducive to capitalism than others. Yet mainstream economics has treated religion as being second order for growth.
This neglect is puzzling. In most societies, religion plays some role in determining nearly every input into growth models. Religious teachings influence whether people save or spend, how many children they have, whether they invest in education, and whether they embrace or resist new technologies. Religious institutions shape financial systems, legal frameworks, and political legitimacy. Religious conflicts can devastate economies, while religious tolerance can spur innovation.
We structure our analysis around a standard economic framework in which output depends on physical capital, labor, human capital, and productivity. But instead of treating these factors as the root causes of growth, we argue that religion operates at a deeper level. It shapes these drivers indirectly—by influencing individual attitudes such as patience, risk-taking, and work effort, and by shaping social norms and institutions, from family patterns to commercial rules.
Key Findings: Four Channels from Religion to Growth
Physical Capital Accumulation: Religious restrictions on lending at interest had a profound effect on financial development. The Catholic Church banned usury at the Council of Nicaea in 325 CE, while Islamic law prohibited riba (interest). Although workarounds emerged—such as the Islamic mukhatara (double sale) that disguised interest—these restrictions shaped institutional development. European regions under Ottoman rule for centuries show 10 percent less bank penetration today than neighboring areas. Similarly, Islamic partnership and inheritance laws kept commercial enterprises small and short-lived, constraining the emergence of large-scale corporate forms that drove European growth. The lack of legal structures for big business meant Islamic merchants could not exploit economies of scale until European institutional innovations were imported in the 19th century.
Human Capital Formation: The impact of religion on education represents perhaps the clearest channel to growth. The Protestant Reformation created a massive educational advantage by encouraging universal Bible reading. Martin Luther’s insistence that every Christian should read Scripture led Protestant territories to establish widespread schooling for both boys and girls. By the 19th century, Protestant areas of Prussia showed substantially higher literacy rates than Catholic regions—and this educational advantage largely explains the Protestant economic lead that Weber attributed to a Protestant work ethic. The effects extended globally through Christian missionaries, who established schools throughout Africa, Asia, and Latin America. Regions with Protestant missionary presence show higher literacy and educational attainment even today, as well as stronger intergenerational mobility in education.
However, religious education can also substitute for economically valuable knowledge. After the 11th century, as madrasas spread across the Islamic world, scientific works declined sharply relative to religious texts. Medieval Christian monasteries preserved classical knowledge but rarely spread literacy beyond clerical ranks. Ultra-Orthodox Judaism creates strong in-group bonds through extensive religious education, but at the cost of lower earnings outside the community. This trade-off persists because the community enforces strict religious demands that effectively filter out those who would enjoy the benefits without truly committing.
Population and Labor: Religious teachings profoundly shaped demographic transitions from high to low fertility—a crucial condition for sustained per capita growth. In 19th-century Prussia, Protestant counties showed lower fertility than Catholic ones, partly because the Protestant emphasis on education created a quantity-quality trade-off in children. More dramatically, France’s early secularization enabled the world’s first demographic transition in the 18th century—earlier than anywhere else. Religious health practices also mattered: Jewish adherence to Talmudic teachings on breastfeeding led to dramatically lower infant mortality than among European Christians from 1500–1930, despite similar birth rates. This translated into faster Jewish population growth in Central and Eastern Europe.
Total Factor Productivity: Religion shaped economic efficiency through multiple channels beyond capital, labor, and education. Technological change was sometimes encouraged and sometimes suppressed. The Ottoman Empire banned printing in Arabic script for 250 years (1480s–1727) because it threatened the religious establishment’s intellectual monopoly—they used their role in legitimating political authority to block the technology. Conversely, religious tolerance spurred innovation: Prussian cities with greater religious diversity in the late 19th century produced more patents per capita. Religious persecution could devastate human capital, as when Nazi genocide thinned Russia’s Jewish middle class, or spur it elsewhere, as when persecuted Huguenots brought advanced textile techniques to Prussia.
Perhaps most importantly, religion shaped political economy and state development. Religious authorities often legitimated rulers in exchange for policy influence. In medieval Islam, rulers relied heavily on religious legitimacy, giving religious authorities substantial power to block policies they opposed—including interest-based lending and large-scale commerce. In Europe, the Protestant Reformation disrupted this equilibrium: Protestant rulers could no longer rely on the Catholic Church for legitimacy and turned instead to parliaments, inadvertently promoting more inclusive institutions. The Church also helped keep Europe fragmented after the fall of Rome by preventing any single power from becoming dominant—a fragmentation that many historians credit with spurring Europe’s eventual economic rise.
Policy Implications
Understanding religion’s role in economic development carries important lessons for contemporary policy. First, religious institutions and beliefs are not merely “cultural” factors to be treated as background conditions—they actively shape economic outcomes through specific, identifiable mechanisms. Policies that ignore religious considerations may fail or backfire. Egypt’s expansion of secular education in the 1950s, intended to secularize society, instead increased demand for Islamic education at higher levels and strengthened religious movements. Turkey’s 1998 compulsory secular education reform triggered a religious backlash in conservative areas.
Second, religious institutions often persist for centuries, meaning historical religious influences continue to shape modern economies. Areas of Europe under historic Ottoman rule still have less developed financial systems. Regions with historical Protestant missions in Africa show higher educational mobility today. This persistence operates through multiple channels: intergenerational transmission of values, path-dependent institutional development, and social reinforcement of norms. Policymakers must account for these deep historical roots when designing interventions.
Third, the relationship between religious and secular education matters greatly for human capital formation. Policies should consider whether religious schooling complements or substitutes for economically valuable education. Some religious education systems (like mainstream Protestantism or traditional Judaism) historically promoted literacy and numeracy that proved economically useful. Others (like some madrasas or ultra-Orthodox yeshivas) emphasize religious knowledge at the expense of secular skills. Supporting religious autonomy while ensuring minimum secular education standards requires careful balancing.
Fourth, religious diversity may promote innovation and growth, but only with sufficient tolerance. Religious persecution destroys human capital and economic potential. Religious tolerance and diversity, by contrast, can foster innovation by bringing together different perspectives and knowledge bases. This has implications for immigration policy, minority rights, and pluralism in education and civil society.
Conclusion
This synthesis shows that religion has shaped economic development through several channels: influencing investment in physical and human capital, affecting fertility and labor supply, and shaping the institutions and norms that drive productivity. The evidence spans world religions and millennia, from medieval Islamic finance to modern educational systems. While each study addresses narrow questions with precision, together they paint a clear picture of religion as a fundamental determinant of economic growth.
Several important questions remain open. Most research focuses on the Abrahamic religions—Judaism, Christianity, and Islam—leaving our understanding of Buddhism, Hinduism, Confucianism, and other traditions incomplete. The mechanisms determining when religious education promotes versus hinders economically valuable skills need more investigation. The relationship between secularization and growth deserves deeper study, as does religion’s role in sustainable development and environmental stewardship.
The central lesson is clear: the conventional growth literature’s neglect of religion represents a significant gap. Religion influences all the standard inputs into growth models—physical capital, human capital, labor, and total factor productivity. But unlike most factors economists study, religion also shapes the deeper preferences, norms, and institutions that determine how these inputs function. Any complete account of why some countries are rich and others poor must grapple with the many ways that religious beliefs, practices, and institutions have shaped—and continue to shape—economic development.
References
Becker, Sascha O., & Woessmann, Ludger (2009). Was Weber Wrong? A Human Capital Theory of Protestant Economic History. Quarterly Journal of Economics 124(2): 531–596.
Botticini, Maristella, & Eckstein, Zvi (2007). From Farmers to Merchants, Conversions and Diaspora: Human Capital and Jewish History. Journal of the European Economic Association 5(5): 885–926.
Chaney, Eric (2013). Revolt on the Nile: Economic Shocks, Religion, and Political Power. Econometrica 81(5): 2033–2053.
Kuran, Timur (2011). The Long Divergence: How Islamic Law Held Back the Middle East. Princeton University Press.
Rubin, Jared (2017). Rulers, Religion, and Riches: Why the West Got Rich and the Middle East Did Not. Cambridge University Press.
Valencia Caicedo, Felipe (2019). The Mission: Human Capital Transmission, Economic Persistence, and Culture in South America. Quarterly Journal of Economics 134(1), 507–556.
Weber, Max (1905/1930) The Protestant Ethic and the Spirit of Capitalism. London: Routledge Classics.
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