Firms and the Fragility of Inequality Reduction: Evidence from Argentina

Author: Santiago Hermo (Department of Economics, Monash University) • Nicolás Sidicaro (IDAES Universidad Nacional de San Mart´ın) • Martín Trombetta (Universidad de Buenos Aires, Instituto Interdisciplinario de Economía Política)
Posted: 8 October 2026

Abstract

Earnings inequality in Latin America fell during the 2000s and stagnated in the 2010s, with cross-country inequality reversals associated with growth slowdowns. Using Argentine matched employer-employee data, we show that firm wage premia compressed in the 2000s and dispersed in the 2010s. Rising firm-effect dispersion drove Argentina's inequality reversal, which was concentrated among smaller firms. Worker-effect dispersion fell in the 2000s without subsequently increasing. The reversal coincided with declining productivity and weakening negotiated wage floors and was correlated with informality. These findings suggest that macroeconomic stagnation can reverse inequality reduction by allowing low-paying firms to fall behind.
JEL codes: J31, E24, O15, J38, J52, J46
Keywords: earnings inequality, firm wage premia, macroeconomic stagnation, collective bargaining, informality, Latin America, Argentina