Firms’ Beliefs About Wage Setting

Author: Antoine Bertheau (Banque de France)Christian Hoeck ( University of Southern Denmark)
Posted: 2 December 2025

Abstract

This paper provides new evidence on why similar workers receive different pay by linking administrative data to a large-scale, representative survey of Danish firms. We find that about 18 percent of firms hold inaccurate beliefs about their position in the wage distribution, with such misperceptions more common in smaller firms. Survey responses reveal that, by far, the primary motive for setting high wages is to retain and attract employees, consistent with wage-posting models. Differences in firm amenities, both positive and negative, also help explain pay variation across firms.
JEL codes: J01; J31; J42; D83; M52
Keywords: Wage dispersion; firm information frictions, biased beliefs