Political Breakthroughs in the Trenches

Author: Pauline Grosjean (University of New South Wales)Saumitra Jha (Stanford University)Michael Vlassopoulos (University of Southampton)Yves Zenou (Monash University, Australia)
Posted: 25 July 2025

Abstract

We show how exposure to partisan peers, under conditions requiring high stakes cooperation, can trigger the breakthrough of novel political beliefs. We exploit the large-scale, exogenous assignment of soldiers from each of 34,947 French municipalities into line infantry regiments during World War I. We show that soldiers from poor, rural municipalities---where the novel redistributive message of the left had previously failed to penetrate---voted for the left by nearly 45% more after the war when exposed to left-wing partisans within their regiment. We provide evidence that these differences reflect persuasive information provision by both peers and officers in the trenches that proved particularly effective among those most likely to benefit from the redistributive policies of the left. In contrast, soldiers from neighbouring municipalities that served with right-wing partisans are inoculated against the left, becoming moderate centrists instead.
JEL codes: D74, N44, L14
Keywords: Political Persuasion, Transmission, War, Voting Behavior, Conflict, Peer Effects, France, World War I