Unintended Consequences of China’s Double Reduction Policy: Its Immediate and Intergenerational Impacts

Author: Xin Liu (The Australian National University)Xin Meng (The Australian National University)Guangqian Pan (The University of Sydney)Guochang Zhao (Southwestern University of Finance and Economics)
Posted: 29 January 2026

Abstract

This paper evaluates the unintended consequences of China's 2021 "Double Reduction" policy, which aimed to ease students' academic burden by limiting homework and private tutoring. Using a tailored household survey, a constructed policy enforcement index, and a difference-in-differences design, we find that the policy increased private tutoring enrollment, household tutoring expenditures, and parental time spent on helping children with schoolwork. These effects disproportionately harmed low-income families, resulting in worse academic outcomes. Our findings suggest that the policy's effects run counter to its intended goals and may exacerbate educational inequality.
JEL codes: I21, I24, J22, J24, D04, D13
Keywords: Education Policy, Private Tutoring, Academic Outcome, Intergenerational Inequality, Parent Outcome