Formal Labor Market Dynamics and Development

Author: Anne Brockmeyer, François Gerard, Gabriel Ulyssea, Linda Wu, Marcelo Bergolo, Rodrigo Ceni González, Benard Kirui, Andrea Lopez-Luzuriaga, Leonardo Fabio Morales, Andrea Otero-Cortés, Nadine Riedel, Matías Tapia, Tanisa Tawichsri, Verena Wiedemann (World Bank Group, UCL & IFS, UCL, UBC, Universidad de la Republica, Universidad de la Republica, Privatisation Commission, IADB and George Washington University, Central Bank of Colombia, Central Bank of Colombia, University of Münster, Central Bank of Chile, Bank of Thailand, World Bank Group)
Posted: 2 June 2026

Abstract

This paper studies formal employment dynamics using linked employer–employee data from eight countries spanning a wide income range from Kenya to Chile. First, we show that formality rates increase with development, both between and within countries, because more workers enter the formal sector, not because they spend more time in formal jobs. Second, formal labor market fluidity increases with development, as workers hold more formal jobs, spend less time in each job, and less time between jobs. Third, greater fluidity is associated with higher life-cycle wage growth, which is largely accounted for by within- rather than between-firm wage gains.
JEL codes: O17, J46, J63
Keywords: Formal Employment, Economic Development, Life-Cycle Wage Growth